Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LRC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 0.139559 0.165073 0.193578 0.227735 0.267502 0.312285 0.366490
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 0.100466 0.133460 0.174414 0.228764 0.298755 0.385592 0.501208
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 0.075892 0.110694 0.157682 0.225282 0.319477 0.445420 0.625782
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 0.062470 0.098506 0.150676 0.230880 0.350045 0.519283 0.776215
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 0.051087 0.086352 0.140660 0.229168 0.368243 0.576352 0.908564
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 0.041773 0.075256 0.129812 0.223555 0.378474 0.621380 1.026851
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 0.034431 0.065827 0.119731 0.216988 0.385312 0.660715 1.139415
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 0.030457 0.061431 0.117168 0.222209 0.411606 0.733343 1.312815
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.026914 0.057120 0.113945 0.225521 0.434578 0.802367 1.487008
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.023668 0.052755 0.109857 0.226452 0.453022 0.865026 1.656176
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.021156 0.049399 0.107123 0.229410 0.475284 0.936395 1.847763
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.019331 0.047159 0.106228 0.235751 0.504584 1.023382 2.076493
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.016574 0.042412 0.099557 0.229616 0.508957 1.064818 2.225793
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.014806 0.039635 0.096706 0.231197 0.529403 1.139911 2.449050
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.012939 0.036245 0.091932 0.227811 0.538795 1.193668 2.634990
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.011893 0.034721 0.091222 0.233500 0.568566 1.292239 2.922556
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 0.010554 0.032157 0.087596 0.231778 0.581369 1.356100 3.143192
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 0.009196 0.029257 0.082654 0.226107 0.584228 1.398507 3.321527
2025-04-13 00:00:00+00:00 0.007980 0.026508 0.077637 0.219469 0.583853 1.433485 3.486647
2025-04-20 00:00:00+00:00 0.007410 0.025560 0.077263 0.224746 0.613217 1.538972 3.820956
2025-04-27 00:00:00+00:00 0.006821 0.024436 0.076221 0.228094 0.638123 1.636497 4.146065
2025-05-04 00:00:00+00:00 0.006210 0.023110 0.074395 0.229035 0.656939 1.721360 4.449352
2025-05-11 00:00:00+00:00 0.005727 0.022109 0.073353 0.232024 0.681497 1.822520 4.801073